0x8a8D3FA969102aeB887E310644634e31635272f8-1776155470258
0x8a8d3fa969102aeb887e310644634e31635272f8
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $454.3k
- Markets traded
- 419
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded419
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.994 | 1.000 | $905.32 | +$5.32 |
| Will UD Almería win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.991 | 1.000 | $806.86 | +$6.86 |
| Will Dinamo 1948 win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.980 | 1.000 | $713.93 | +$13.93 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants | 0.951 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Down | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET · Up | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Up | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will LASK Linz win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
| Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-09-06? · Yes | 0.944 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.48at 0.950Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$84.60at 0.943Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?
- +$77.74at 0.963Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 29?
- +$75.32at 0.930Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?
- +$64.43at 0.956US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 18:42 | Will Dinamo 1948 win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.98 | $700.00 |
| 09-20 18:08 | Will UD Almería win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.991 | $800.00 |
| 09-20 16:30 | Will Viking FK win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.9801260542 | $600.00 |
| 09-20 16:29 | Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.9936213503 | $900.00 |
| 09-20 14:25 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.9969999996 | $800.00 |
| 09-20 13:31 | Will FC Thun win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.94 | $400.00 |
| 09-20 13:30 | Will LASK Linz win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.9887033889 | $600.00 |
| 09-20 13:27 | Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.9851940996 | $500.00 |
| 09-20 12:59 | Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.95 | $300.00 |
| 09-20 10:26 | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.97 | $600.00 |
| 09-20 09:27 | Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.9827385427 | $300.00 |
| 09-19 20:21 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.993 | $900.00 |
| 09-19 16:53 | Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.982 | $400.00 |
| 09-19 15:29 | Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9886257345 | $700.00 |
| 09-19 15:23 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.96 | $500.00 |