0x8A8BBaC20EDCcb1d9809008DD9A2D0123c41373D-1769705822626
0x8a8bbac20edccb1d9809008dd9a2d0123c41373d
- Realised P&L
- $-28.19
- Volume
- $787.95
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $13.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.079 | $13.85 | +$8.85 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Up | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? · No | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET · Down | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET · Up | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.10 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.39at 0.426Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
- +$4.85at 0.654Will England win on 2026-07-15?
- +$1.59at 0.753Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
- +$1.17at 0.811Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
- +$-11.41at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 16:07 | Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | BUY | 0.0283462227 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 00:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 00:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $6.68 |
| 09-10 00:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $6.24 |
| 09-10 00:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 00:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 15:44 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.6424999791 | $9.00 |
| 07-13 13:45 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.174999986 | $10.00 |
| 03-30 16:00 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 03-30 15:59 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.0269999974 | $10.00 |
| 02-05 17:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.28 | $4.80 |
| 02-05 17:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $4.91 |
| 02-05 16:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999195 | $1.50 |
| 02-05 16:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $1.95 |