Yelowyolo
0x8a815b830d6ecfb203abd27334ef8d621e2558b0
- Realised P&L
- $5.1k
- Volume
- $44.92M
- Markets traded
- 503
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded503
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.001Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
- +$1.1kat 0.002Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
- +$610.94at 0.001Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
- +$546.15at 0.001Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$541.07at 0.003Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 22:59 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.0274999974 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 18:18 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 17:30 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 19:35 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 19:24 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | SELL | 0.031 | $3.88 |
| 06-26 19:21 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 17:41 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.03 | $139.20 |
| 06-17 06:24 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $114.11 |
| 06-12 16:33 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1749037963 | $20.00 |
| 06-04 01:36 | Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.0039902558 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 20:01 | Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.04 |
| 06-01 20:00 | James Collier announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 17:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | SELL | 0.14 | $1.27 |
| 06-01 17:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | SELL | 0.24 | $2.49 |