BaiLuobo
0x8a7c28794daf37dfa1f072e805a9aa5e290f8992
- Realised P&L
- $-59.61
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $45.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes | 0.820 | 0.815 | $24.45 | −$0.15 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Obama · Nothing | 0.948 | 0.948 | $20.00 | +$0.00 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.069 | $1.37 | −$5.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.85at 0.870US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
- +$5.16at 0.430US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$3.50at 0.919Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
- +$3.50at 0.830Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$2.65at 0.850Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 01:25 | Nothing Ever Happens: Obama | BUY | 0.9479999736 | $20.00 |
| 06-21 22:14 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 06-14 13:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $14.70 |
| 03-29 13:36 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | SELL | 0.0278036364 | $0.38 |
| 03-20 04:36 | US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | BUY | 0.429999986 | $14.77 |
| 02-25 03:54 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.9399342037 | $20.00 |
| 02-24 12:23 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.9 | $20.00 |
| 02-21 22:12 | Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.8499999813 | $25.00 |
| 02-20 12:27 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $39.99 |
| 02-19 01:49 | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999996 | $72.60 |
| 02-19 01:47 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.965 | $72.60 |
| 02-08 08:37 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9498537868 | $71.46 |
| 02-08 08:36 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $40.00 |