0x8A7608FcED788A0344Df2Cf758A179FBeF359Aa9-1761612411214
0x8a7608fced788a0344df2cf758a179fbef359aa9
- Realised P&L
- $-6.2k
- Volume
- $205.5k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $152.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.472 | 0.359 | $152.34 | −$47.66 |
| Grizzlies vs. Suns · Suns | 0.586 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.64 |
| Will Verona vs. Inter end in a draw? · Yes | 0.824 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Clippers vs. Warriors · Clippers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$391.44 |
| Magic vs. Pistons · Magic | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$700.00 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) · Anyone's Legend | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.6kat 0.540Pacers vs. Mavericks
- +$3.1kat 0.761Magic vs. Hornets
- +$1.8kat 0.687Blue Jays vs. Dodgers
- +$1.7kat 0.809Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
- +$1.4kat 0.64576ers vs. Wizards
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 10:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.4719554937 | $200.00 |
| 11-02 13:23 | Will Verona vs. Inter end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8333180904 | $1.3k |
| 11-02 13:08 | Will Verona vs. Inter end in a draw? | BUY | 0.52375 | $25.14 |
| 11-01 19:10 | Army vs. Air Force | SELL | 0.99 | $1.3k |
| 11-01 18:40 | Army vs. Air Force | BUY | 0.95 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 18:35 | West Virginia vs. Houston | SELL | 0.42 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 18:20 | West Virginia vs. Houston | BUY | 0.8273316765 | $2.5k |
| 11-01 18:07 | Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.5k |
| 11-01 16:49 | Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8201015335 | $2.0k |
| 11-01 16:49 | Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01? | SELL | 0.1017550353 | $2.0k |
| 11-01 15:59 | Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01? | BUY | 0.7257333338 | $9.2k |
| 11-01 15:27 | Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01? | SELL | 0.4201398418 | $3.0k |
| 11-01 11:28 | Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01? | BUY | 0.4894456538 | $7.0k |
| 11-01 02:52 | Dodgers vs. Blue Jays | SELL | 0.95 | $0.40 |
| 11-01 02:51 | Dodgers vs. Blue Jays | SELL | 0.95 | $6.0k |