mmmmegamo
0x8a7418bfb0870bed57d20cfcc65b6c3f15b71d16
- Realised P&L
- $-160.54
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 571
- Open portfolio
- $9.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded571
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration2.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.40at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 3?
- +$12.31at 0.094Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 3?
- +$5.53at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 4?
- +$5.37at 0.382Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 3?
- +$5.35at 0.382Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:08 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:08 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |