PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mmmmegamo

0x8a7418bfb0870bed57d20cfcc65b6c3f15b71d16

Realised P&L
$-160.54
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
571
Open portfolio
$9.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded571
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration2.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 23:06Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 20?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-18 22:08Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-18 20:08Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 20?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-18 20:08Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 20?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-18 18:08Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-18 04:04Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-18 00:03Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?BUY0.64$1.00
09-18 00:03Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-17 18:03Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-17 04:03Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-17 00:03Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-17 00:03Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.5699999886$1.00
09-16 23:03Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 18?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-16 23:03Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-16 22:03Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 18?BUY0.5199999792$1.00