ggtfdf
0x8a73b68dcfa955bce653a97a068fe30cab2b6289
- Realised P&L
- $17.24
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $2.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.39at 0.590Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?
- +$4.23at 0.028Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
- +$3.60at 0.800Ethereum Up or Down on July 27?
- +$3.44at 0.199Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
- +$2.90at 0.240Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 14:30 | Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 14:32 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 04-25 12:56 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0510000004 | $1.00 |
| 03-28 07:37 | Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.883 | $4.43 |
| 03-24 09:08 | Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1989998655 | $1.00 |
| 03-20 06:32 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.451 | $4.51 |
| 03-05 08:58 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 5? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 03-05 08:57 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 4? | SELL | 0.938 | $3.90 |
| 03-04 13:00 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.1349998906 | $1.00 |
| 03-04 12:58 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 4? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 03-03 13:02 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 02-26 09:00 | Antalya: Iryna Shymanovich vs Despina Papamichail | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 02-04 03:35 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.9877461255 | $13.38 |
| 02-02 13:40 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999712 | $8.00 |