bnzo1vnnc1lv
0x8a6e61bea765d8c23e2a4a63d7e4eae6fef48fe0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $69.0k
- Markets traded
- 718
- Open portfolio
- $86.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded718
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.009 | $86.36 | −$13.63 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.? · Yes | 0.471 | 0.040 | $0.34 | −$3.66 |
| Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes | 0.429 | 0.001 | $0.23 | −$99.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$340.54at 0.370Timberwolves vs. Celtics
- +$132.33at 0.430Oilers vs. Blues
- +$86.27at 0.543Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$85.33at 0.539Oilers vs. Stars
- +$80.42at 0.782Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 02:18 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.5299999983 | $100.00 |
| 04-01 19:38 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $50.00 |
| 03-26 16:36 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.00 |
| 03-24 05:34 | Will "Crazy" be said 15+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | BUY | 0.1299999928 | $14.00 |
| 03-23 01:55 | Timberwolves vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.3699999992 | $200.00 |
| 03-16 06:06 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0109999999 | $100.00 |
| 03-15 21:42 | Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA | BUY | 0.4699999982 | $50.00 |
| 03-14 04:20 | UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7099999998 | $300.00 |
| 03-14 04:14 | UFC Fight Night: Chris Curtis vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.2699999963 | $50.00 |
| 03-14 04:13 | UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Bolaji Oki (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.3099999968 | $50.00 |
| 03-14 04:12 | UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.709999998 | $50.00 |
| 03-14 03:16 | Oilers vs. Blues | SELL | 0.999 | $232.32 |
| 03-13 21:40 | Suns vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.3599999987 | $100.00 |
| 03-13 19:06 | Oilers vs. Blues | BUY | 0.4299999985 | $100.00 |
| 03-13 19:04 | Kings vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |