WhiteColorWhite
0x8a69f7e5f0b3b32830326a7900bc57471845afa5
- Realised P&L
- $-146.70
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $45.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.098 | $45.23 | −$29.77 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.28at 0.140No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
- +$-3.53at 0.095Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
- +$-4.12at 0.796Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?
- +$-4.33at 0.097Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
- +$-17.10at 0.124Will Chuang Ching-cheng win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 01:21 | Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? | SELL | 0.0274739701 | $4.25 |
| 09-01 01:17 | Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? | SELL | 0.1122831183 | $69.45 |
| 09-01 01:16 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | SELL | 0.058846544 | $6.27 |
| 09-01 01:16 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.06527571 | $7.10 |
| 09-01 01:15 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.1905252416 | $303.39 |
| 09-01 01:14 | Will Chuang Ching-cheng win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election? | SELL | 0.0224793592 | $3.75 |
| 09-01 01:13 | Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | SELL | 0.1574281964 | $103.16 |
| 09-01 01:12 | Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election? | SELL | 0.7874618335 | $209.42 |
| 08-21 09:13 | Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 09:11 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.093906086 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 09:05 | Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.1895787545 | $100.00 |
| 08-21 09:02 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.0918972251 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 09:02 | Will Chuang Ching-cheng win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election? | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 08:59 | Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.1616701856 | $200.00 |
| 08-21 08:58 | Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $200.00 |