IXCAR
0x8a687d641570b9df5206d3f77d3cef71c9cb2613
- Realised P&L
- $-57.49
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 290
- Open portfolio
- $1.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded290
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche vs. Flyers · Avalanche | 0.680 | 0.675 | $1.27 | −$0.01 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Germany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Australia | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? · No | 0.739 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET · Down | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.50at 0.750Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
- +$5.55at 0.667Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
- +$3.17at 0.366Atlas FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5
- +$2.95at 0.507Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-05-02?
- +$2.65at 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 05:34 | Avalanche vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.6799999788 | $1.28 |
| 07-04 18:50 | Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.992 | $6.27 |
| 07-04 05:03 | Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7099999826 | $4.49 |
| 07-03 22:16 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 20:40 | Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 20:38 | Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.20 |
| 07-03 20:36 | Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.9699999709 | $7.00 |
| 07-03 18:17 | Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.37 |
| 07-03 15:12 | Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 19:37 | Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.28 |
| 07-01 21:17 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.83 | $3.19 |
| 07-01 05:01 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.56 |
| 06-30 21:41 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4399999562 | $2.01 |
| 06-30 21:41 | Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 21:41 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |