GloriaDdfb
0x8a666504d7ed6cc1115f58a2e1d536a21d9b7ea4
- Realised P&L
- $-3.67
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $27.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) · Bills | 0.510 | 0.505 | $27.27 | −$0.27 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? · No | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.30 |
| Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5) · Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.93 |
| Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes | 0.524 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.07 |
| Will FC Thun win on 2026-07-21? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$159.36at 0.500Will Robert Lewandowski win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
- +$149.40at 0.500Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$149.40at 0.500Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$55.78at 0.500Will Branko Marinković win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$33.66at 0.500US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 08:26 | Spread: Bills (-4.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $27.54 |
| 08-24 09:06 | Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $27.93 |
| 08-19 12:03 | 49ers vs. Chargers | BUY | 0.53 | $28.62 |
| 08-05 08:57 | Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 08-05 08:57 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.49 | $27.44 |
| 08-05 08:56 | Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 07-20 11:47 | Will FC Thun win on 2026-07-21? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.04 |
| 07-10 06:03 | Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.524 | $19.07 |
| 06-15 06:38 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.28 | $20.30 |
| 06-05 07:00 | Will Pietro Mastropasqua win the 2026 Molfetta mayoral election? | BUY | 0.56 | $15.34 |
| 04-16 12:20 | Raptors vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.23 | $3.07 |
| 04-16 12:17 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.53 | $8.76 |
| 04-10 09:30 | Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.995 | $57.94 |
| 04-10 09:30 | Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.996 | $58.00 |
| 03-30 08:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March? | BUY | 0.9989999296 | $14.00 |