0x8a64a4df87d151b9f287124101eabe118049b43e
0x8a64a4df87d151b9f287124101eabe118049b43e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.71
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $1.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on September 28? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 21? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 26? · No | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
- +$0.88at 0.543Dogecoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$-0.09at 0.522Dogecoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$-1.04at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
- +$-1.04at 0.522Dogecoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 16:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 07:34 | Dogecoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 07:34 | Dogecoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 09:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 09:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 08:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 09:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 26? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 16:26 | Dogecoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 16:24 | Dogecoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 16:18 | Dogecoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 18:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 19:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 21? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |