Santyclaus
0x8a63130a4c3d42776adc143354d684a3611aceab
- Realised P&L
- $-623.13
- Volume
- $45.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,037
- Open portfolio
- $5.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,037
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration3.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Suzan Lamens · Leolia Jeanjean | 0.530 | 0.555 | $2.77 | +$0.13 |
| Adana: Noma Noha Akugue vs Fiona Crawley · Noma Noha Akugue | 0.500 | 0.445 | $2.74 | −$0.34 |
| New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.38 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.546 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.14 |
| Singapore Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Anastasia Kulikova · Jiaqi Wang | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo · Toronto Tempo | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.16 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins · Atlanta Braves | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.10 |
| Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm · Seattle Storm | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.61 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.37 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers · Chicago White Sox | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.87 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.529 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.48 |
| Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-09-06? · No | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.51 |
| Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-09-13? · No | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.07 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.18 |
| Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm · Seattle Storm | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$212.90at 0.202PortlandFire vs. New York Liberty
- +$206.46at 0.215Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire
- +$160.11at 0.268Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$121.64at 0.302Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
- +$114.28at 0.245Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 02:14 | Adana: Noma Noha Akugue vs Fiona Crawley | BUY | 0.5 | $3.08 |
| 09-28 02:14 | Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Suzan Lamens | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-27 16:19 | Will SD Eibar win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.82 |
| 09-27 16:19 | Will Burgos CF win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.52 |
| 09-27 13:16 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries | BUY | 0.29 | $1.74 |
| 09-27 11:15 | Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream | BUY | 0.29 | $1.74 |
| 09-27 08:15 | Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces | BUY | 0.41 | $2.46 |
| 09-27 06:41 | New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx | BUY | 0.29 | $1.74 |
| 09-26 18:29 | Will Club Almirante Brown win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-26 16:22 | Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.94 |
| 09-26 13:50 | Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.52 |
| 09-26 02:23 | Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-24 23:27 | Tolentino: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Oksana Selekhmeteva | BUY | 0.3499999417 | $1.80 |
| 09-24 21:32 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | BUY | 0.2 | $1.26 |
| 09-24 19:21 | Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse | BUY | 0.36 | $1.89 |