PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8A62D1e12E7Ea015fB2896577d7e41b11C0669b2-1783087467932

0x8a62d1e12e7ea015fb2896577d7e41b11c0669b2

Realised P&L
$-79.07
Volume
$21.3k
Markets traded
1,863
Open portfolio
$95.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,863
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? · Yes0.1060.716$40.40+$34.40
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? · Yes0.3700.995$7.33+$4.60
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m? · Yes0.8000.963$7.22+$1.22
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? · Yes0.6830.795$6.99+$0.99
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? · No0.9801.000$6.12+$0.12
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 29m? · No0.9820.996$6.08+$0.08
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? · No0.9570.950$5.95−$0.05
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? · No0.9670.995$3.09+$0.09
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? · No0.9410.951$3.03+$0.03
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his rally in Oklahoma? · No0.9600.961$3.00+$0.00
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9710.968$2.99−$0.01
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.9000.945$2.10+$0.10
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? · Yes0.3800.295$1.29−$0.37
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1700.049$0.29−$0.71
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? · Yes0.4600.001$0.00−$2.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 02:30Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his rally in Oklahoma?BUY0.96$3.00
09-30 23:01Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 30?SELL0.998$3.47
09-30 22:05Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 1?SELL0.94$2.93
09-30 22:00Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.96$3.00
09-30 21:37Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 30?SELL0.997$3.54
09-30 21:30Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 30?SELL0.997$1.36
09-30 20:12Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?BUY0.955999791$3.00
09-30 20:08Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?BUY0.9409999862$3.00
09-30 20:07Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?BUY0.9669999932$3.00
09-30 19:01Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 30?BUY0.8199999836$3.00
09-30 18:04Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 30?BUY0.6099999736$3.00
09-30 17:58Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 30?BUY0.8599999828$3.00
09-30 16:58Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 30?BUY0.9399999937$3.00
09-30 12:19Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?BUY0.81$3.00
09-29 22:33Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 29?SELL0.998$3.69