0x8A62D1e12E7Ea015fB2896577d7e41b11C0669b2-1783087467932
0x8a62d1e12e7ea015fb2896577d7e41b11c0669b2
- Realised P&L
- $-79.07
- Volume
- $21.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,863
- Open portfolio
- $95.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,863
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.24at 0.038Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
- +$37.15at 0.054Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
- +$32.94at 0.114Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
- +$22.60at 0.216Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?
- +$20.87at 0.166Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 02:30 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $3.47 |
| 09-30 22:05 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.94 | $2.93 |
| 09-30 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 21:37 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $3.54 |
| 09-30 21:30 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.36 |
| 09-30 20:12 | Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.955999791 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 20:08 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? | BUY | 0.9409999862 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 20:07 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | BUY | 0.9669999932 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.6099999736 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.9399999937 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 12:19 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.00 |
| 09-29 22:33 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.998 | $3.69 |