PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x8a552Fd1F24B6B556BD964A44f24Ff1B3cd40b10-1743596721131

0x8a552fd1f24b6b556bd964a44f24ff1b3cd40b10

Realised P&L
$302.50
Volume
$15.3k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$97.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? · No0.9640.963$48.98−$0.05
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat? · Yes0.9500.985$48.59+$1.70
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? · Up0.8270.000$0.00−$201.05
Solana Up or Down on August 12? · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$775.00
XRP Up or Down on August 7? · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$429.00
XRP Up or Down on August 3? · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$9.00
Ethereum Up or Down on August 10? · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$509.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 12:54Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.978$48.35
02-24 07:54Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.975$21.89
02-16 13:15Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16?BUY0.8273662551$201.05
08-13 07:15Valkyries vs MysticsBUY0.5$820.00
08-11 08:54Solana Up or Down on August 12?BUY0.5$775.00
08-08 05:47Ethereum Up or Down on August 10?BUY0.5$509.00
08-06 10:24XRP Up or Down on August 7?BUY0.5$429.00
08-01 12:13XRP Up or Down on August 3?BUY0.5$9.00
04-28 06:28Cavaliers vs. HeatBUY0.24$288.00
04-23 11:20Sperm Race: Noah Boat vs Jimmy ZhangBUY0.48$312.00
04-21 11:51Panthers vs. LightningBUY0.4899119911$334.00
04-18 11:52Mavericks vs. GrizzliesBUY0.32$139.00
04-16 11:18Red Wings vs. DevilsBUY0.557150605$239.00
04-15 11:46Kansas City Royals vs. New York YankeesBUY0.6599999997$222.00
04-14 07:38Detroit Tigers vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.6199999994$300.00