Boyledfbh
0x8a54ccf411dfbb54beaedcb37b81b299c1b22418
- Realised P&L
- $-155.41
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $80.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B · MOUZ | 0.640 | 1.000 | $37.00 | +$13.32 |
| UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Reinier de Ridder | 0.760 | 1.000 | $33.00 | +$7.92 |
| Spread: Eagles (-7.5) · Eagles | 0.470 | 0.465 | $10.23 | −$0.11 |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A · M80 | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.32 |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.74 |
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.68 |
| Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.97 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-08? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$156.16 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Jacob Fearnley | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$250.94at 0.500Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$243.42at 0.500Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$231.57at 0.500Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$210.62at 0.500Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$93.86at 0.500Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 08:01 | Spread: Eagles (-7.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $10.34 |
| 08-25 09:13 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.64 | $23.68 |
| 08-20 07:58 | UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.76 | $25.08 |
| 08-12 06:29 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A | BUY | 0.32 | $16.32 |
| 08-12 06:28 | Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.997 | $27.97 |
| 08-12 06:27 | Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.00 |
| 07-21 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 21? | BUY | 0.56 | $18.20 |
| 07-01 03:16 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 07-01 03:16 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $46.91 |
| 07-01 03:16 | Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.42 | $27.97 |
| 06-11 11:57 | Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.23 | $14.74 |
| 06-10 06:58 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.993 | $54.94 |
| 06-10 06:58 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $20.00 |
| 06-10 06:58 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $35.00 |
| 05-25 09:36 | Roland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | BUY | 0.23 | $13.88 |