Jamieeee
0x8a4ec9c5684b23599bb1dd827b8a5673c2fab38c
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $256.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,167
- Open portfolio
- $210.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,167
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$331.58at 0.492Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by April 30, 2026?
- +$278.15at 0.031Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
- +$157.46at 0.540Will Trump say "First Amendment" during WHCA Dinner events?
- +$135.28at 0.346Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 15+ times during remarks at Steel Across America?
- +$112.92at 0.476Will Trump say "F-15" or "F-15E" during events with Rutte?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 11:59 | Will Trump say "Alaska" this week? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 09-17 07:54 | Will Trump say "Alaska" this week? | BUY | 0.5030875 | $20.12 |
| 09-13 05:26 | Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 05:24 | Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 09-11 03:07 | Will Trump say "Police" or "Firefighter" 5+ times during remarks at the Pentagon? | BUY | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 09-11 03:07 | Will Trump say "Hell" during remarks at the Pentagon? | SELL | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 09-11 02:52 | Will Trump say "Hell" during remarks at the Pentagon? | BUY | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 09-10 13:19 | Will Trump say "Democrat" during his remarks in Arlington? | BUY | 0.55 | $19.25 |
| 09-09 07:29 | Will Trump say "Stock" or "Record" during remarks at the Pentagon? | BUY | 0.49 | $19.60 |
| 09-09 01:59 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during RNC Convention? | SELL | 0.27 | $15.32 |
| 09-08 13:31 | Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 15+ times during remarks at Steel Across America? | BUY | 0.19 | $11.21 |
| 09-05 03:15 | Will John Ternus say "Flexible" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.4375 | $35.00 |
| 09-04 15:27 | Will Trump say "Democrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" 25+ times during RNC Convention? | SELL | 0.595 | $47.60 |
| 09-04 14:24 | Will Trump say "Ass" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.5533333333 | $33.20 |
| 09-04 13:22 | Will Trump say "My Father" during RNC Convention? | SELL | 0.588 | $29.40 |