PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Vingtoft

0x8a48aba187d3cb1695ed408c0112df03eddc7bc7

Realised P&L
$-96.64
Volume
$393.5k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$747.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.005$657.35$113.59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.045$90.00$110.00
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$9.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$2.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$5.00
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 23:42Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0069999986$5.00
07-11 23:41Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.06$23.08
07-03 06:57Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.8599999656$2.00
07-01 10:16Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.77$1.00
06-20 17:32Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.016$9.00
06-18 07:28Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?BUY0.0776121836$100.00
06-17 19:39Will England win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.59$64.29
06-17 08:00Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETBUY0.6099999988$25.00
06-16 12:18Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.7599999696$5.00
06-16 12:18Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.75$5.00
06-16 12:18Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.75$5.00
06-16 12:16Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.9199999985$25.00
05-13 06:50Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.086$38.90
05-07 18:15Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0949999981$42.97
05-05 04:18Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$200.00