perico18
0x8a433b78b80f0b0ee7cda5628a62f1981d82039f
- Realised P&L
- $-971.55
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $203.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.061 | $203.17 | +$3.17 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.761 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 31, 2026? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.58at 0.557Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$71.89at 0.585Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$64.10at 0.746Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$34.36at 0.746Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
- +$34.36at 0.746Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:09 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | BUY | 0.0605409149 | $200.00 |
| 08-30 21:54 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.00 |
| 08-30 21:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.9609999999 | $200.00 |
| 07-15 16:18 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $10.82 |
| 07-07 20:02 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4099999991 | $247.11 |
| 07-07 15:45 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7399999994 | $186.58 |
| 07-05 19:56 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5499999996 | $500.00 |
| 07-03 19:01 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 07-03 18:59 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8599999999 | $300.00 |
| 07-02 22:01 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.5774999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-01 16:58 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.2699999963 | $50.00 |
| 07-01 16:58 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 06-29 18:58 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | SELL | 0.03 | $4.92 |
| 06-29 18:57 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.9099999958 | $50.00 |
| 06-29 18:24 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.4599999983 | $100.00 |