0x8A331A7991572119cEDeEE1010679cE307F1A6d5-1721603617728
0x8a331a7991572119cedeee1010679ce307f1a6d5
- Realised P&L
- $163.50
- Volume
- $16.4k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $82.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No | 0.700 | 0.925 | $66.07 | +$16.07 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.042 | $9.22 | −$0.78 |
| Will Jalen Hurts win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.033 | $7.01 | +$2.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$448.22at 0.063Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$100.48at 0.790GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
- +$74.04at 0.300Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
- +$65.49at 0.860U.S. recession before May 2025?
- +$43.90at 0.533Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 21:04 | Will Jalen Hurts win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0235294118 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 20:12 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0449999998 | $10.00 |
| 03-25 21:40 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $28.23 |
| 01-24 18:22 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.8499999986 | $30.00 |
| 01-24 18:18 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 14:05 | Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025? | BUY | 0.89 | $50.73 |
| 10-26 13:47 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | BUY | 0.909 | $31.82 |
| 09-29 19:02 | Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | SELL | 0.049518136 | $10.31 |
| 08-23 01:20 | Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | BUY | 0.73 | $75.37 |
| 08-21 21:32 | Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | BUY | 0.75 | $58.48 |
| 07-24 14:36 | Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $10.20 |
| 07-24 14:31 | Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.0166633333 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 14:48 | U.S. recession before May 2025? | SELL | 0.983 | $0.38 |
| 03-22 14:46 | U.S. recession before May 2025? | SELL | 0.983 | $433.50 |
| 01-13 02:32 | Ripple above $2.40 on January 17? | BUY | 0.31 | $9.30 |