ptj68
0x8a31f5691e54e3bf416fee45ab56d56704c72604
- Realised P&L
- $-61.07
- Volume
- $41.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $84.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 21? · No | 0.330 | 0.275 | $84.17 | −$16.83 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET · Up | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$368.07at 0.863Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?
- +$231.85at 0.732Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22?
- +$85.16at 0.389Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?
- +$-4.78at 0.013Will Luong Cuong be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
- +$-31.40at 0.046Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.329999999 | $101.00 |
| 09-16 01:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $100.00 |
| 01-22 15:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22? | SELL | 0.9012730652 | $1.2k |
| 01-22 14:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22? | BUY | 0.7316446183 | $1000.00 |
| 01-22 14:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22? | SELL | 0.3480835143 | $301.43 |
| 01-22 09:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22? | BUY | 0.577390196 | $500.00 |
| 01-21 15:57 | Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | SELL | 0.017 | $18.60 |
| 01-21 15:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21? | SELL | 0.7205448107 | $185.16 |
| 01-21 14:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21? | BUY | 0.3891438826 | $100.00 |
| 01-21 14:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21? | SELL | 0.7177367969 | $944.39 |
| 01-21 09:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21? | BUY | 0.7599999995 | $1000.00 |
| 01-21 07:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21? | SELL | 0.7079453765 | $476.43 |
| 01-21 07:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21? | BUY | 0.7299999995 | $300.00 |
| 01-21 07:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21? | BUY | 0.6899999983 | $79.14 |
| 01-21 07:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21? | BUY | 0.678778199 | $100.00 |