PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8a30b58739a79d7c710264c7ec9768d22de09c67

Realised P&L
$-1.38
Volume
$678.00
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$38.13

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · No0.5000.945$15.12+$7.12
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9090.964$13.50+$0.77
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.165$3.46+$0.10
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No0.2830.128$2.05$2.49
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1000.065$1.82$0.98
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · Yes0.4810.115$1.61$5.13
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.2600.095$0.57$0.99
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00$2.80
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 06:32Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.9$7.20
07-07 03:55Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$1.08
07-04 19:07Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.1$2.80
06-20 23:35Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.91$4.55
06-18 07:26Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.83$4.15
06-17 18:06Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.571$3.43
06-15 11:05U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.9$4.50
05-20 14:54Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.18$1.08
05-19 03:53China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.964$9.64
05-19 02:04Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.82$7.38
04-27 23:54Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.909$18.18
04-27 23:53Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.83$4.98
04-25 21:54Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.447$2.23
04-23 20:50Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.459$2.75
04-23 20:50Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.551$3.86