PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jay4

0x8a2f99a2b3844b346b217444a38ca539a05281f0

Realised P&L
$-379.39
Volume
$55.8k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$88.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.7300.805$32.20+$3.00
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0500.064$19.05+$4.05
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · Yes0.1200.083$16.50$7.50
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5200.515$15.45$0.15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.045$5.40$6.60
Netanyahu out by August 31? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$0.09
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$5.00
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.20
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$11.00
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$11.20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$12.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-16 03:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETBUY0.6099999756$5.00
07-31 02:45Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?BUY0.998$18.29
07-15 07:35Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$12.00
07-01 22:05US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.62$1.64
05-04 10:33Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?BUY0.016$11.20
03-04 05:22Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.967$289.03
03-01 14:15US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?SELL0.021$28.60
02-24 05:52Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.009$0.45
01-21 09:30Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?BUY0.891$17.82
01-21 09:27Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?SELL0.001$1.40
01-21 09:27Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.89$8.90
01-21 09:25Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.008$20.40
01-21 09:25Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$3.00
01-21 09:23Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?SELL0.98$19.60
01-21 09:22Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.009$23.40