0xCE1a0Ad7287B58042eea65e31c58bd84E137cD15-1768421812690
0x8a2a43ef80e66b225c4688858b1f7bc1042dbb38
- Realised P&L
- $-12.28
- Volume
- $430.00
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $48.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.979 | $48.92 | +$25.93 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.00at 0.230Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$35.50at 0.290Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$-12.28at 0.220Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 21:09 | Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.0562666667 | $4.22 |
| 10-24 23:57 | Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 10-24 23:55 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 10-24 23:28 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 10-24 23:26 | Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.23 | $18.40 |