olds
0x8a294e9f87490093b663ceb2ae11bf2a389c9fee
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $25.2k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $0.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$389.45at 0.115Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?
- +$257.60at 0.290Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner
- +$195.00at 0.512Dota 2: Cake Team vs SoloTeam - Game 1 Winner
- +$176.86at 0.480Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs HOTU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
- +$122.64at 0.411Dota 2: YBN Team vs Stray Team - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 19:54 | Will United States vs. Mexico end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $47.75 |
| 10-03 18:54 | Will United States vs. Mexico end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $33.80 |
| 10-03 18:53 | Will United States win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.34 | $44.20 |
| 10-03 18:53 | Will United States win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.35 | $45.50 |
| 10-03 14:14 | Will Russia win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.11 | $100.01 |
| 10-03 13:39 | Will Russia win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.40 |
| 10-03 13:26 | Will Russia win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.11 | $88.00 |
| 10-03 13:22 | Will Namibia win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.026 | $8.58 |
| 10-03 13:21 | Will Russia vs. Namibia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.09 | $37.81 |
| 09-29 22:58 | Fenerbahce vs. FC Bayern Munchen | SELL | 0.15 | $8.39 |
| 09-29 17:11 | Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.07 | $102.90 |
| 09-29 17:09 | Will Spain vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.20 |
| 09-29 15:39 | Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.07 | $5.60 |
| 09-29 15:36 | Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 09-29 15:06 | Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |