Rtk40e10
0x8a1cdef4bd5ae40b32890e35c13d082da8d391f7
- Realised P&L
- $48.11
- Volume
- $466.13
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $107.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Fant: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 · Over | 0.390 | 0.497 | $59.96 | +$12.96 |
| Juwan Johnson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 · Over | 0.400 | 0.505 | $47.98 | +$9.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.47at 0.490Xavier Hutchinson: Receptions O/U 2.5
- +$17.27at 0.542Spread: Spain (-2.5)
- +$-2.45at 0.227Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-4.17at 0.552Asian Games Men: Sri Lanka vs Nepal
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 23:06 | Noah Fant: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | BUY | 0.3899999984 | $47.00 |
| 10-05 15:32 | Juwan Johnson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $38.00 |
| 10-04 23:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.48 |
| 10-04 20:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.22 | $6.58 |
| 10-04 15:33 | Xavier Hutchinson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $36.00 |
| 09-29 13:49 | Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 21:07 | Asian Games Men: Sri Lanka vs Nepal | BUY | 0.5399999975 | $43.00 |