PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Tokyo.is.hot

0x8a19890daccd81dc8eab48ea8a311d2a801e073d

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$475.0k
Markets traded
1,945
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,945
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 05:28Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1?BUY0.979$4.89
10-01 05:27Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1?BUY0.98$267.66
10-01 05:04Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 2?BUY0.97$147.39
10-01 05:04Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1?BUY0.9150293542$84.16
10-01 03:03Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.999$300.00
10-01 02:33Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.999$300.00
10-01 01:33Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 1?BUY0.999$300.00
10-01 01:03Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.999$112.67
10-01 00:03Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on October 1?BUY0.999$14.98
09-30 17:09Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 1?BUY0.99$191.92
09-30 16:43Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 1?BUY0.998$24.95
09-30 16:43Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 1?BUY0.96$68.16
09-30 16:07Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on October 1?BUY0.998$43.54
09-30 16:07Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 1?BUY0.9$21.37
09-30 15:18Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 1?BUY0.86$18.18