Tokyo.is.hot
0x8a19890daccd81dc8eab48ea8a311d2a801e073d
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $475.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,945
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,945
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$396.81at 0.041Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?
- +$384.49at 0.199Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 30?
- +$253.80at 0.593Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 17?
- +$216.71at 0.283Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 11?
- +$214.16at 0.591Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.979 | $4.89 |
| 10-01 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.98 | $267.66 |
| 10-01 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.97 | $147.39 |
| 10-01 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9150293542 | $84.16 |
| 10-01 03:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $300.00 |
| 10-01 02:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $300.00 |
| 10-01 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $300.00 |
| 10-01 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $112.67 |
| 10-01 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-30 17:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $191.92 |
| 09-30 16:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.95 |
| 09-30 16:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.96 | $68.16 |
| 09-30 16:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on October 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $43.54 |
| 09-30 16:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9 | $21.37 |
| 09-30 15:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.86 | $18.18 |