PolyBot

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Traders

DFKbullish

0x8a16fc7ff21626e6cb80d27ae963d0c0a6843676

Realised P&L
$35.8k
Volume
$3.43M
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$999.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)11.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.1670.046$999.52$2.6k
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.3k
Xi Jinping out in 2025? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$27.1k
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$23.91
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$18.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$897.18
Xi Jinping out before October? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$160.00
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.75
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.1880.000$0.00$3.5k
Starmer out in 2025? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$5.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 07:03Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.07$5.0k
09-19 14:08Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.0445220513$712.35
09-19 14:02Starmer out in 2025?BUY0.13$247.00
09-19 13:58Starmer out in 2025?BUY0.12$169.08
09-19 13:57Starmer out in 2025?BUY0.11$1.72
09-12 09:53Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.14$14.00
09-09 02:08Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?BUY0.1887602213$1.6k
09-09 02:07Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?BUY0.1871759262$1.9k
09-09 02:06Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.07$693.26
07-26 05:13Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.13$2.8k
07-24 15:45Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.12$990.00
07-24 15:44Xi Jinping out before October?BUY0.0652508384$160.00
07-24 15:43Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.12$1.9k
07-22 03:58Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.11$2.8k
07-21 02:47Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.08$82.88