0x8a147B3E4E99b1143e06648FB4b23463047F1F7D-1781251048541
0x8a147b3e4e99b1143e06648fb4b23463047f1f7d
- Realised P&L
- $-34.66
- Volume
- $294.83
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $8.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.981 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.978 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027? · No | 0.959 | 0.987 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| EU dissolves before 2027? · No | 0.968 | 0.986 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on October 13? · Yes | 0.990 | 1.000 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 13? · Down | 0.990 | 1.000 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 13? · Yes | 0.990 | 1.000 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes | 0.975 | 0.974 | $1.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| England leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? · No | 0.812 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on June 26? · Down | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.89at 0.325Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$0.60at 0.944Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
- +$0.31at 0.942WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on June 18?
- +$0.23at 0.992Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on June 15?
- +$0.20at 0.836Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 16:47 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 16:46 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on October 13? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 15:28 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on October 13? | BUY | 0.9899990298 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 15:24 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 13? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 15:21 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.9749990738 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:37 | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.06 |
| 07-08 22:28 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 07-08 22:26 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 07-08 22:24 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9709999981 | $2.00 |
| 07-08 22:24 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9759999922 | $2.00 |
| 07-08 22:23 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9789999985 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 19:24 | Will Meta (META) close above $610 on July 6? | BUY | 0.998001996 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 19:22 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $67 on July 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:19 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.9789999883 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:18 | Will France win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.8899994126 | $1.00 |