PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8a147B3E4E99b1143e06648FB4b23463047F1F7D-1781251048541

0x8a147b3e4e99b1143e06648fb4b23463047f1f7d

Realised P&L
$-34.66
Volume
$294.83
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$8.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · No0.9400.981$1.04+$0.04
OPEC dissolves in 2026? · No0.9400.978$1.04+$0.04
NATO dissolves before 2027? · No0.9590.987$1.03+$0.03
EU dissolves before 2027? · No0.9680.986$1.02+$0.02
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on October 13? · Yes0.9901.000$1.01+$0.01
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 13? · Down0.9901.000$1.01+$0.01
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 13? · Yes0.9901.000$1.01+$0.01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes0.9750.974$1.00−$0.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00−$20.00
England leading at halftime? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00−$10.00
Starmer out by June 22, 2026? · No0.8120.000$0.00−$7.00
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on June 26? · Down0.9600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 16:47Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 13?BUY0.99$1.00
10-13 16:46Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on October 13?BUY0.99$1.00
10-13 15:28WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on October 13?BUY0.9899990298$1.00
10-13 15:24WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 13?BUY0.99$1.00
10-13 15:21US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.9749990738$1.00
08-04 13:37Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?SELL0.89$1.06
07-08 22:28Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of July 6 2026?BUY0.99$2.00
07-08 22:26Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of July 6 2026?BUY0.99$2.00
07-08 22:24Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9709999981$2.00
07-08 22:24Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9759999922$2.00
07-08 22:23Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9789999985$2.00
07-06 19:24Will Meta (META) close above $610 on July 6?BUY0.998001996$5.00
07-06 19:22WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $67 on July 6?BUY0.99$1.00
06-26 19:19Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.9789999883$1.00
06-26 19:18Will France win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.8899994126$1.00