DEGEN.ZX
0x8a122cb53952be225427a255ae6d23ea6a77dfa3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $122.8k
- Markets traded
- 147
- Open portfolio
- $40.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded147
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.440 | $9.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.255 | $9.44 | −$0.56 |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.158 | 0.145 | $9.19 | −$0.81 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.255 | $7.97 | −$2.03 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.165 | $4.34 | −$5.66 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.90at 0.180Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$87.83at 0.140Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$48.14at 0.092Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$44.31at 0.164Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$35.07at 0.613Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:00 | Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 04:59 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 04:17 | Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.59 | $28.54 |
| 09-13 04:17 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.157790927 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 04:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 04:14 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 04:10 | Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6199999971 | $30.00 |
| 07-23 04:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $14.54 |
| 07-20 13:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999886 | $15.00 |
| 07-16 16:49 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.3599999921 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 13:20 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 13:20 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 03:31 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5699999926 | $20.00 |
| 07-08 08:58 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 08:58 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6099999915 | $15.00 |