0x8a10a24e55654ba3363886a0fdf5dbd709afd1a9
- Realised P&L
- $3.39
- Volume
- $762.41
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $110.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.90at 0.500US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$0.48at 0.830Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
- +$0.35at 0.179Discord IPO before 2027?
- +$0.21at 0.500US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$0.14at 0.650Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 13:24 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 06-22 15:55 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.071 | $1.28 |
| 06-10 10:19 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.67 | $10.34 |
| 06-05 15:24 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.63 |
| 05-23 22:43 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $12.32 |
| 05-23 22:42 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 05-23 22:42 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $4.74 |
| 05-23 22:42 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 05-23 22:42 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.562 | $2.81 |
| 05-21 07:07 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $10.92 |
| 05-21 07:07 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.12 |
| 05-21 07:06 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.10 |
| 05-21 07:06 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $15.77 |
| 05-21 07:06 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $6.29 |
| 04-25 22:36 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $6.64 |