PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x8a10a24e55654ba3363886a0fdf5dbd709afd1a9

Realised P&L
$3.39
Volume
$762.41
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$110.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · No0.5000.981$29.41+$14.41
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8300.935$17.77+$2.00
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.6700.925$14.27+$3.93
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8800.925$12.95+$0.63
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8400.895$11.63+$0.71
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.975$5.85+$0.75
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7900.905$5.43+$0.69
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.5620.912$4.56+$1.75
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1700.065$3.06$4.93
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1200.075$1.88$1.13
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · Yes0.0820.036$1.22$1.57
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1300.085$0.85$0.45
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1600.105$0.73$0.38
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · Yes0.5000.019$0.58$14.41
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2100.095$0.47$0.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 13:24Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.13$1.30
06-22 15:55Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.071$1.28
06-10 10:19Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.67$10.34
06-05 15:24Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.032$1.63
05-23 22:43Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.88$12.32
05-23 22:42Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.12$3.00
05-23 22:42Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.79$4.74
05-23 22:42Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.21$1.05
05-23 22:42Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.562$2.81
05-21 07:07Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.84$10.92
05-21 07:07Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$1.12
05-21 07:06Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.85$5.10
05-21 07:06Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.83$15.77
05-21 07:06Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.17$6.29
04-25 22:36Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.83$6.64