0x8a0c8379f0d214b5451a81d6679ac21dbe0758bc
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $228.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.115 | $228.82 | −$22.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.22at 0.061Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
- +$13.80at 0.356Will The Black Ball win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$12.29at 0.284Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$2.73at 0.119Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV by November 30?
- +$0.33at 0.424Will The Odyssey win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:50 | Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.10 |
| 11-01 08:14 | Will The Odyssey win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.2808105882 | $23.87 |
| 11-01 02:19 | Will The Odyssey win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.35 | $4.20 |
| 11-01 02:18 | Will The Odyssey win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.36 | $4.32 |
| 11-01 01:18 | Will The Odyssey win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.36 | $23.40 |
| 11-01 01:17 | Will The Odyssey win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3332467532 | $51.32 |
| 11-01 00:26 | Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.07 |
| 11-01 00:12 | Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 11-01 00:11 | Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $93.96 |
| 11-01 00:10 | Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.99 |
| 11-01 00:10 | Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 11-01 00:09 | Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $4.16 |
| 11-01 00:09 | Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 11-01 00:08 | Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.73 |
| 10-31 20:43 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.1027272727 | $11.30 |