sadnesss
0x8a0b48d581d9df5df6396235017f209d490eebb6
- Realised P&L
- $-2.97
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $5.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.895 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.590 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.390 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.105 | $0.46 | −$0.54 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.030 | $0.24 | −$0.72 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.004 | $0.17 | −$0.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.015 | $0.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$0.90 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:07 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:52 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.96 |
| 09-17 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0051841944 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:27 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:25 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |