0x8a0b0475e4b040cb10e3caed9f8bb9dd2561f811
- Realised P&L
- $-0.76
- Volume
- $258.17
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $9.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.325 | $2.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.480 | $2.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.755 | $1.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.245 | $1.81 | −$0.19 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.130 | $0.74 | −$1.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.63at 0.268Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?
- +$5.02at 0.292Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?
- +$4.45at 0.310US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$3.49at 0.371Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$2.72at 0.430WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 05:08 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 20:55 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 11:13 | Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 02:04 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 17:38 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 07:02 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 03:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 15:27 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 17:57 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 09:06 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 10:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 23:34 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 14:56 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 05:42 | Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 06:24 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $182 in August? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |