0x_21million
0x8a09e4f73db5ff0b77affdc2180f09be630eabe5
- Realised P&L
- $-288.76
- Volume
- $63.9k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $70.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.068 | $68.00 | −$32.00 |
| Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.002 | $2.14 | −$42.86 |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? · Yes | 0.277 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.00 |
| Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.079Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
- +$334.00at 0.285Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April?
- +$295.24at 0.170Will Bronny James be drafted?
- +$272.20at 0.198Will BTC hit $50,000 in February?
- +$195.06at 0.303Congress passes bill banning TikTok by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-19 21:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? | BUY | 0.023 | $23.00 |
| 05-19 20:52 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.11 |
| 05-19 20:51 | Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.031612712 | $45.00 |
| 11-10 19:31 | Ethereum all time high in 2024? | BUY | 0.2 | $86.46 |
| 11-10 19:06 | Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election? | BUY | 0.054 | $54.00 |
| 11-10 18:51 | Ethereum all time high in 2024? | BUY | 0.22 | $660.00 |
| 11-10 17:50 | Ethereum all time high in 2024? | BUY | 0.2 | $183.65 |
| 11-10 17:49 | Ethereum all time high in 2024? | BUY | 0.2 | $14.00 |
| 07-19 02:55 | Biden drops out of presidential race? | BUY | 0.14 | $18.20 |
| 07-19 02:52 | Biden drops out of presidential race? | BUY | 0.14 | $140.00 |
| 07-16 01:21 | Fed rate cut by July 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $25.00 |
| 07-16 01:14 | Will $ETH reach 3.7k in July? | SELL | 0.7 | $122.50 |
| 06-28 19:00 | Trump to speak at Bitcoin 2024 conference? | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |
| 04-01 16:02 | TikTok banned in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.0454860508 | $28.79 |
| 04-01 14:24 | Will Alabama win the NCAA tournament? | BUY | 0.0599999978 | $25.00 |