0x8a04a9ffb49ebddc1ed1ee3fd18a3e1a60eee85f
0x8a04a9ffb49ebddc1ed1ee3fd18a3e1a60eee85f
- Realised P&L
- $-38.0k
- Volume
- $1.34M
- Markets traded
- 841
- Open portfolio
- $44.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded841
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2PM ET
- +$2.6kat 0.418Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2AM ET
- +$2.3kat 0.342Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9AM ET
- +$2.2kat 0.404Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4PM ET
- +$2.1kat 0.496Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 08:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 08:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 08:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 08:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.1182266001 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 08:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 08:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 08:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 08:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 08:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 08:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999924 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 08:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 08:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 08:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 08:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 08:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |