PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

JoeyJokesAlot

0x8a02530ad61fcee13552b7386309a974fd17bc34

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$813.0k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$379.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.1960.115$146.47−$102.73
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.2340.125$123.75−$107.55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.3100.330$108.90+$6.60
Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · Yes0.0050.042$0.42+$0.37
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$974.08
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$122.44
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$624.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$90.33
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$166.21
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$184.75
Evidence released proving JFK assassination was an inside job by Feb 10? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$450.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$490.00
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? · No0.0150.000$0.00−$112.50
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$120.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1500.000$0.00−$105.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 17:00Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?SELL0.12$5.40
10-24 13:56Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.09$29.07
10-24 13:55Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.09$32.36
10-19 17:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.15$105.00
10-19 17:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.14$0.70
10-19 11:37US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.06$18.00
10-19 11:35US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.21$4.20
10-15 12:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.71$393.29
10-15 12:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.67$334.99
10-14 20:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.33$154.69
10-14 17:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.33$464.06
10-13 20:43Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.027$43.84
10-08 10:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.15$187.50
09-23 23:10Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?BUY0.043$92.62
09-23 22:25Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?BUY0.043$9.46