Keta22
0x89fa540c192c87b69bafe6f1648c4e74e7e02891
- Realised P&L
- $101.01
- Volume
- $339.0k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $232.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · Yes | 0.811 | 0.930 | $232.50 | +$29.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.94at 0.060Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?
- +$72.00at 0.520Will Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
- +$71.54at 0.610Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition
- +$37.96at 0.527Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$36.00at 0.400Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-17 02:19 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.811092 | $202.77 |
| 01-13 13:57 | Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition | BUY | 0.61 | $111.90 |
| 10-29 15:33 | Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.066 | $3.70 |
| 10-29 15:32 | Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4 | $24.00 |
| 10-29 15:31 | Will Zohran Mamdani get more than 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.20 |
| 10-27 17:52 | Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.7 | $61.66 |
| 10-27 17:52 | Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.26 | $22.90 |
| 10-02 12:59 | Will the Cleveland Guardians be eliminated in the Wild Card Series? | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 07-26 10:02 | Will Travis Hunter play offense and defense? | BUY | 0.87 | $143.55 |
| 07-26 10:01 | Will Travis hunter only play offense? | BUY | 0.1073706667 | $17.72 |
| 07-26 10:01 | Will Travis Hunter only play defense? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.83 |
| 07-26 10:01 | Travis Hunter doesn't play Offense or Defense in first 4 games? | BUY | 0.0116732727 | $1.93 |
| 05-25 07:25 | Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%? | BUY | 0.06 | $9.06 |
| 05-25 07:24 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | BUY | 0.93 | $140.43 |
| 05-01 21:08 | Bill allowing Trump 3rd term passes House before June? | BUY | 0.993999999 | $4.11 |