0x89f166c767ed8b59c7309fd8268862a65eec52e4
0x89f166c767ed8b59c7309fd8268862a65eec52e4
- Realised P&L
- $-94.89
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,756
- Open portfolio
- $34.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,756
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.63at 0.301Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 5?
- +$8.65at 0.808Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 15?
- +$8.51at 0.540Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 6?
- +$7.48at 0.740Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 16?
- +$7.46at 0.779Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.99 |
| 09-30 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.93 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 23:12 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.63 |
| 09-30 19:36 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.93 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 18:48 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.25 |
| 09-30 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.47 |
| 09-30 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.99 |
| 09-30 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.92 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 10:35 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.08 |
| 09-29 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.99 |
| 09-29 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on September 30? | BUY | 0.919 | $1.99 |
| 09-29 18:14 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.44 |
| 09-29 16:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |