Skrit
0x89e76850471070dbfb6a7798d4f4ddce0aa9df6b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $296.5k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $11.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.004 | $11.40 | −$304.70 |
| Solana above $245 on December 6? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.4kat 0.2132024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
- +$3.7kat 0.430Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
- +$3.1kat 0.800WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)
- +$352.99at 0.772Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$120.05at 0.566Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-24 08:19 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.103 | $6.18 |
| 03-24 08:16 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $33.01 |
| 03-24 07:52 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.109 | $1.62 |
| 03-24 07:45 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.60 |
| 03-24 07:45 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.60 |
| 03-24 07:41 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.60 |
| 03-24 07:08 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $35.20 |
| 03-24 06:18 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1097058824 | $9.33 |
| 03-24 06:09 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.60 |
| 03-24 06:08 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.60 |
| 03-24 06:03 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.60 |
| 03-24 05:59 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.60 |
| 03-24 05:55 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.60 |
| 03-24 05:54 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.60 |
| 03-24 05:51 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1096666667 | $9.87 |