65737
0x89e70f47eb97fe5933e2046e51cdba7ffac5912f
- Realised P&L
- $15.19
- Volume
- $25.7k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $81.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 11? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $74.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.935 | 0.852 | $5.46 | −$0.54 |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.995 | 0.994 | $1.00 | −$0.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.83 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.34 |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.41 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.36at 0.567Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
- +$4.71at 0.700Temple vs. Army
- +$3.94at 0.780Georgia vs. Mississippi State
- +$2.67at 0.750Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
- +$1.30at 0.860Indiana vs. Penn State
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 05:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $75.00 |
| 09-11 07:39 | Will Thinky be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.999 | $75.00 |
| 08-26 09:01 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.00 |
| 08-20 06:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | SELL | 0.992 | $15.25 |
| 08-12 05:38 | Will Solana dip to $10 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.00 |
| 08-12 05:38 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.00 |
| 08-12 05:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.00 |
| 08-12 05:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.00 |
| 07-19 07:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.54 | $11.34 |
| 07-19 07:40 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half | BUY | 0.18 | $3.83 |
| 07-19 07:40 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.41 | $9.06 |
| 07-14 05:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 07-14 05:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 05:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 07-14 05:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $48,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.00 |