0x89e6f53629939f15b73089cec0518bdd2a733c40
0x89e6f53629939f15b73089cec0518bdd2a733c40
- Realised P&L
- $2.01
- Volume
- $262.84
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $12.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.980 | $5.10 | +$2.81 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.425 | $1.63 | +$0.63 |
| OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.650 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 1.000 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · No | 0.450 | 0.495 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.900 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.175 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.52at 0.260US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$6.12at 0.278SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$5.10at 0.310US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.19at 0.359Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$3.53at 0.400Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 10:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 00:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 16:46 | OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:12 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 19:06 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? | BUY | 0.8504058141 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:41 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 08:21 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999659 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 07:10 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999497 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 22:30 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5999999476 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 12:28 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999539 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 03:54 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.74 |
| 09-19 04:57 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.29 |
| 09-18 15:08 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 02:30 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299999512 | $2.29 |
| 09-14 05:59 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999893 | $2.29 |