PolyBot

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Traders

0x89e6f53629939f15b73089cec0518bdd2a733c40

Realised P&L
$7.83
Volume
$60.26
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$23.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration83.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2600.855$7.53+$5.24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.6601.000$2.68+$0.91
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.8000.915$2.62+$0.33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.6500.665$2.34+$0.05
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.6800.690$2.32+$0.03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2500.195$1.79$0.50
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.3800.250$1.51$0.78
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6? · Up0.6300.380$1.38$0.91
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.3200.135$0.97$1.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 15:01Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3799999469$2.29
08-06 07:01SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?BUY0.6299999065$2.29
08-05 10:56SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.2699999293$2.29
08-05 10:41SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.7199999497$2.29
08-05 02:32Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.6799999169$2.29
08-04 18:30US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.6499999716$2.29
08-04 10:24S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4?BUY0.6499999716$2.29
08-04 02:23S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 4?BUY0.5899999304$2.29
08-03 18:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.32$2.29
08-03 10:04US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.25$2.29
08-02 20:10Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.8$2.29
08-02 00:32US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.2599999251$2.29
08-01 16:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.659999918$1.77