PolyBot

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Traders

0x89e17cd0d2f5cd381a17ec479aaec5d9823f54bc

0x89e17cd0d2f5cd381a17ec479aaec5d9823f54bc

Realised P&L
$-5.69
Volume
$449.00
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$110.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2026? · No0.6540.965$23.15+$7.46
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · Yes0.2100.375$17.63+$7.75
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.8830.912$13.69+$0.44
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.6240.845$13.52+$3.54
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8300.957$8.61+$1.14
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.4870.853$8.53+$3.65
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9660.981$6.87+$0.10
China coup attempt before 2027? · No0.9770.982$4.91+$0.03
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · No0.9770.982$4.91+$0.02
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.3550.155$4.03−$5.21
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.5020.122$1.22−$3.80
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1800.043$1.03−$3.29
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.3080.175$0.88−$0.66
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2100.090$0.54−$0.72
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.047$0.52−$0.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 01:17China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.977$4.88
07-06 19:24US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$1.21
06-28 13:03Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.887$7.98
06-22 10:46Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.966$6.76
06-20 05:20Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.21$1.26
06-17 18:55Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.431$2.15
06-15 14:25Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.878$5.27
06-13 09:15U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$8.19
06-08 14:01Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.573$2.86
06-05 14:48Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.145$1.01
06-03 07:44Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.308$1.54
06-03 06:51Will Iran legalize gay marriage?BUY0.977$4.88
05-21 01:16Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.93$5.58
05-21 01:16Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.79$5.53
05-21 01:16Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.83$7.47