0x89e17cd0d2f5cd381a17ec479aaec5d9823f54bc
0x89e17cd0d2f5cd381a17ec479aaec5d9823f54bc
- Realised P&L
- $-5.69
- Volume
- $449.00
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $110.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.63at 0.072Modi out by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.16at 0.850US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.08at 0.915Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.790Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 01:17 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.977 | $4.88 |
| 07-06 19:24 | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.21 |
| 06-28 13:03 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.887 | $7.98 |
| 06-22 10:46 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.966 | $6.76 |
| 06-20 05:20 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.26 |
| 06-17 18:55 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.431 | $2.15 |
| 06-15 14:25 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.878 | $5.27 |
| 06-13 09:15 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $8.19 |
| 06-08 14:01 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.573 | $2.86 |
| 06-05 14:48 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.145 | $1.01 |
| 06-03 07:44 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.308 | $1.54 |
| 06-03 06:51 | Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | BUY | 0.977 | $4.88 |
| 05-21 01:16 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $5.58 |
| 05-21 01:16 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $5.53 |
| 05-21 01:16 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $7.47 |