0x89Dc175ED45651561Cbbfe691AE7E9074e0b7952-1772742634945
0x89dc175ed45651561cbbfe691ae7e9074e0b7952
- Realised P&L
- $-853.12
- Volume
- $34.8k
- Markets traded
- 970
- Open portfolio
- $120.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded970
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.980 | 1.000 | $40.80 | +$0.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 19? · No | 0.960 | 0.908 | $37.68 | −$2.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 18? · No | 0.950 | 0.945 | $33.93 | −$0.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on September 19? · No | 0.960 | 0.975 | $7.91 | +$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.72at 0.831Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?
- +$19.05at 0.897Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 5?
- +$18.13at 0.907Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 10?
- +$17.58at 0.889Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?
- +$16.90at 0.934Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $40.00 |
| 09-18 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on September 19? | BUY | 0.96 | $7.79 |
| 09-17 19:27 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.95 | $34.10 |
| 09-17 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9707056256 | $40.03 |
| 09-17 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.97 | $40.42 |
| 09-17 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9562621705 | $40.27 |
| 09-17 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9564141534 | $40.27 |
| 09-17 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.69 |
| 09-16 12:36 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $40.00 |
| 09-16 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9366806137 | $40.30 |
| 09-15 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9281600736 | $40.36 |
| 09-15 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 09-15 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9643898156 | $10.98 |
| 09-15 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.95 | $39.59 |
| 09-14 17:43 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.95 | $21.38 |