zhuimengren
0x89da2456fb1cfa643c4c78b0851da91081038230
- Realised P&L
- $-357.63
- Volume
- $65.1k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $50.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.623 | 0.275 | $50.32 | −$63.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.37at 0.933Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
- +$37.44at 0.950Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs
- +$35.10at 0.932Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
- +$30.07at 0.790Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-03-07?
- +$26.29at 0.800Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 07:31 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $9.24 |
| 09-19 04:33 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $67.57 |
| 09-19 04:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.43 | $117.89 |
| 09-17 06:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.55 | $150.79 |
| 08-03 11:30 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.95 | $148.69 |
| 07-01 00:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.976 | $346.48 |
| 07-01 00:42 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $909.82 |
| 06-24 12:54 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $924.77 |
| 06-23 01:06 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9906060383 | $322.86 |
| 06-17 11:44 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.948 | $307.43 |
| 06-13 07:23 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $917.08 |
| 06-11 14:19 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.992 | $152.77 |
| 06-09 12:57 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939019608 | $152.07 |
| 06-09 12:56 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $151.70 |
| 06-07 00:27 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $152.15 |