0x89D3b29eD1448d045C183ef23F2BCF3d7dCCACe9-1769090322568
0x89d3b29ed1448d045c183ef23f2bcf3d7dccace9
- Realised P&L
- $-32.42
- Volume
- $648.34
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $8.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.71at 0.160Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$4.09at 0.550Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
- +$2.23at 0.665Will Italy join the Board of Peace?
- +$0.41at 0.290Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22?
- +$0.20at 0.150Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-09 06:27 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9? | BUY | 0.0659999801 | $3.00 |
| 03-09 06:26 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BUY | 0.6699999933 | $3.00 |
| 03-02 14:22 | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | BUY | 0.0439999794 | $2.00 |
| 03-02 14:21 | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | BUY | 0.0439999918 | $5.00 |
| 03-02 14:21 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 03-01 09:44 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.998 | $18.71 |
| 01-30 06:47 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 01-28 10:32 | Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999593 | $4.00 |
| 01-28 10:26 | Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 6% and 8%? | BUY | 0.1093167461 | $4.00 |
| 01-28 10:21 | Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 01-27 09:48 | Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 01-27 09:45 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 01-26 15:23 | Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 01-26 15:18 | Will Italy join the Board of Peace? | SELL | 0.85 | $10.23 |
| 01-23 07:54 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.2146071806 | $5.00 |