0x89d24674d6cbb81b9d3a59a512d695697c49252a
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $162.1k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $41.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.428 | 0.415 | $29.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.015 | $7.02 | +$0.60 |
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.021 | $4.94 | −$1.32 |
| Will Rodina win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.001 | $0.48 | −$24.67 |
| Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-14? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.53 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET · Down | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.21 |
| Torino FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-09-14? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.195Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?
- +$910.67at 0.595Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score
- +$765.84at 0.266US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Robin Montgomery
- +$547.67at 0.493Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?
- +$497.35at 0.615Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:34 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4278606908 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 19:27 | Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.53 |
| 09-14 16:57 | Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.0208206286 | $6.73 |
| 09-14 16:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0550594456 | $48.21 |
| 09-14 16:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 16:15 | Torino FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.53 | $1.0k |
| 09-14 16:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.7875 | $157.50 |
| 09-13 21:07 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.3899999997 | $500.00 |
| 09-13 19:21 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4624891758 | $500.00 |
| 09-13 17:03 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 17:02 | Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.0725028572 | $64.45 |
| 09-13 16:09 | Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.13 | $158.54 |
| 09-13 16:08 | Exact Score: Levante UD 1 - 3 FC Barcelona? | SELL | 0.5993984962 | $637.76 |
| 09-13 14:10 | Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Manchester City FC? | BUY | 0.0419452933 | $75.14 |
| 09-13 14:10 | Exact Score: Levante UD 1 - 3 FC Barcelona? | BUY | 0.09 | $95.76 |