osmachok
0x89cdddd88b65786de47fd4f74e56ecc1b73dc723
- Realised P&L
- $-169.65
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $146.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes | 0.323 | 0.095 | $146.66 | −$352.54 |
| Michael Olise: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.96 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Corners · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$228.15at 0.300Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedov
- +$62.47at 0.602Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$55.75at 0.475England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$36.86at 0.612Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
- +$36.10at 0.620Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 09:53 | Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.1899999966 | $36.96 |
| 07-19 09:49 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3399999967 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 09:49 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 20:20 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 12:39 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4624999984 | $49.11 |
| 07-15 12:38 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3799999964 | $50.00 |
| 07-14 15:30 | France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.5199999979 | $30.00 |
| 07-14 15:14 | Michael Olise: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 15:13 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.4499999955 | $50.00 |
| 07-10 21:05 | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6 | $57.00 |
| 07-10 21:03 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | SELL | 0.9975 | $157.70 |
| 07-09 22:11 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5949999987 | $94.07 |
| 07-09 22:07 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | SELL | 0.9975 | $95.30 |
| 07-09 15:18 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6124999969 | $58.52 |
| 05-09 19:26 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.323368544 | $499.20 |