0x89ca66860f368d73dd50d473c38b0f82b41e2ce4
- Realised P&L
- $-17.81
- Volume
- $396.17
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $0.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.029 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.24at 0.480Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?
- +$2.89at 0.580Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
- +$2.57at 0.280Will AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
- +$2.35at 0.460Ethereum Up or Down on January 12?
- +$2.33at 0.300Will Derby County FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 12:37 | Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 12:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.50 |
| 05-13 20:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 05-13 20:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.68 |
| 02-08 22:06 | Stefon Diggs: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 02-08 22:05 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.5199999861 | $3.00 |
| 02-08 22:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.04 |
| 02-08 22:03 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.10 |
| 02-08 21:03 | Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.3219998973 | $2.00 |
| 02-08 21:03 | Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 02-08 21:01 | Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.13 |
| 02-08 21:01 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.82 |
| 02-05 19:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999866 | $7.00 |
| 01-28 19:17 | Will Club Brugge KV vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 01-28 19:16 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-28? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |