0x89c914bbf4aa6dcc78541598bd8861e5f225953
0x89c914bbf4aa6dcc78541598bd8861e5f2259534
- Realised P&L
- $-80.0k
- Volume
- $5.13M
- Markets traded
- 5,327
- Open portfolio
- $156.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,327
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.190 | $100.13 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.095 | $56.44 | +$1.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.1kat 0.380Arkansas vs. Texas Tech
- +$7.7kat 0.560Knicks vs. Pacers
- +$7.6kat 0.686Michigan State vs. Auburn
- +$7.0kat 0.590Seahawks vs. 49ers
- +$6.4kat 0.420UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:02 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.48 | $100.32 |
| 10-05 22:01 | Flyers vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.67 | $100.50 |
| 10-05 21:55 | Spread: Saints (-2.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $102.60 |
| 10-05 21:55 | Falcons vs. Saints | BUY | 0.48 | $100.32 |
| 10-05 16:01 | Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.19 | $72.98 |
| 10-05 16:00 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.091 | $27.30 |
| 10-05 01:11 | Lions vs. Panthers | SELL | 0.54 | $818.64 |
| 10-05 00:17 | Lions vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.66 | $1.0k |
| 10-04 20:24 | Chiefs vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.68 | $500.48 |
| 10-04 20:24 | Broncos vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.6 | $492.00 |
| 10-04 20:03 | Spread: Vikings (-10.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $100.10 |
| 10-04 16:50 | Titans vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.86 | $129.00 |
| 10-04 16:49 | Spread: Packers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.58 | $100.92 |
| 10-04 16:48 | Packers vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.42 | $100.38 |
| 10-04 16:47 | Rams vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.63 | $100.80 |